Scale Prognostics
BATTERY DEGRADATION INTELLIGENCE

Know why your battery degrades,
not just when

Physics-based degradation modeling for silicon-graphite batteries. See which mechanism is failing, how confident to be, and what to do about it in milliseconds.

7 of 8
A or Better
Across published datasets
∼30 ms
Per Simulation
1,000 cycles end-to-end
30+
Output Channels
Per-cycle diagnostics
4
Root Causes
Mode decomposition

VALIDATED AGAINST PEER-REVIEWED DATA FROM  Nature Communications  ·  Kirk et al. (ACS Energy Lett.)  ·  Dose et al.  ·  LG Energy Solutions  ·  HPQ Silicon

Who Is This For?

If you make decisions about batteries, we make those decisions better.

Cell Designers

You're choosing silicon content, electrolyte, and cycling protocol. You need to know which design lasts longest — without waiting 6 months for aging data.

Run 1,000 virtual aging tests in 30 seconds. Change one variable, see the impact instantly.

Pack & Fleet Engineers

You're managing batteries in the field. You need to predict when packs will hit 80% capacity so you can plan replacements and set warranty terms.

Model real-world conditions — temperature swings, fast charging, partial cycling — and get a predicted end-of-life date with confidence bounds.

Finance & Operations

You're setting warranty reserves, planning fleet budgets, or evaluating batteries for second-life resale. You need numbers you can put in a spreadsheet.

Get physics-backed lifetime projections that hold up under changing conditions — not just curves from past data that break when conditions change.

CAPABILITIES

What Scale Prognostics delivers

Seven coupled degradation mechanisms in a single engine. Every simulation returns a complete diagnostic picture not just a capacity curve.

🔋

Lifetime Prediction

See exactly how your battery will age, cycle by cycle. Our physics engine models seven failure mechanisms working together — not a statistical guess, but a simulation of what’s happening inside the cell.

🧩

Know Why, Not Just When

Which mechanism is killing your cell? SEI film growth? Silicon cracking? Transport blockage? Mode decomposition breaks capacity loss into root causes so you can fix the right problem.

🔥

Knee Point Early Warning

Batteries don’t always fade gradually — sometimes they fall off a cliff. Our criticality index warns you when a cell is approaching irreversible cascade, before it’s visible in your data.

🌡️

Real-World Thermal Effects

A battery in Phoenix ages differently than one in Oslo, even at the same average temperature. We model seasonal and daily temperature swings as independent aging drivers.

📊

Built-In Confidence Bands

Every prediction includes an uncertainty envelope. You see the best case, worst case, and most likely outcome — so you can make decisions with the right level of caution.

Millisecond Speed

Full 1,000-cycle simulation in about 30 milliseconds. Run “what if” scenarios, compare designs, and explore tradeoffs interactively — fast enough for a meeting, not just a lab.

HOW IT WORKS

Three steps to a full prediction

No coding required. Use our web dashboard, or connect through our API or Python SDK if your team prefers.

1

Describe your cell

Tell us the basics: silicon content, particle type, charge rate, temperature, and how many cycles you want to simulate.

Example: 20% silicon, bulk particles, 1C charge rate, 25°C with ±12°C seasonal swing, 1,500 cycles.
2

Run the simulation

Our engine models all seven degradation mechanisms simultaneously — SEI growth, silicon cracking, lithium plating, transport loss, and more.

Full simulation completes in ~30 milliseconds. Includes per-cycle capacity, resistance, safety score, and thermal state.
3

Get the full picture

See your capacity forecast with confidence bands, a breakdown of which mechanisms caused the loss, and an actionable recommendation.

Download the full dataset, share interactive reports with your team, or feed results directly into your design pipeline.

For developers: Everything available in the dashboard is also accessible through our REST API and Python SDK.

SAMPLE OUTPUT

What a simulation tells you

Heres what it looks like at cycle 800 of a 20% silicon cell at 1C. Every number is backed by physics, not curve fitting. Try it with your own cell →

Scale PrognosticsSIMULATION SNAPSHOT — CYCLE 800
Remaining Capacity84.2%
Down from 100% at start of life
End-of-Life EstimateCycle 1,180
When capacity crosses 80%
Dominant Failure ModeSEI Growth (52%)
Lithium consumed by surface film formation
Second ModeSilicon Cracking (38%)
Active material fragmenting under expansion
Confidence Band± 2.1%
Upper: 86.3% · Lower: 82.1%
Safety Score99.1 / 100
No thermal or plating concern at this point
CAPACITY LOSS BREAKDOWN — WHERE DID 15.8% GO?

Mode decomposition splits total capacity loss into root causes. This is the question every battery engineer asks:whats actually killing my cell?

SEI Film Growth52%
Lithium trapped in surface films on the anode
Silicon Cracking38%
Active silicon particles fracturing during cycling
Graphite Loss5%
Minor exfoliation of graphite layers
Transport Blockage5%
Pore clogging that slows ion movement
Actionable insight: SEI dominates early life. Optimizing electrolyte additives or narrowing the voltage window will have more impact than changing silicon particle morphology for this cell design.
VALIDATED

Tested against the literature

Calibrated against 8 peer-reviewed datasets spanning 2.5%20% silicon, multiple charge rates, and temperatures from 25°C to 45°C. We show every result including the hard ones.

SourceSiliconConditionRMSEGrade
Nature Commun. 2021 (LPD)20%0.5C, 25°C0.13%A+
Kirk et al. 202410%0.5C, 25°C0.17%A+
HPQ GEN3 1865018%0.5C, 25°C0.18%A+
Dose et al. 20238%1C, nano-Si0.23%A+
5% Si Composite5%1C, 45°C0.25%A+
Nature Commun. 2021 (HPD)20%0.5C, knee1.23%A
LG M50T2.5%1C, 25°C3.87%C
Kirk 2024 Fast Charge10%2C, fast charge1.01%A

Grades shown are for calibrated presets (model parameters fitted to each dataset). Out-of-sample accuracy depends on your specific chemistry — use the free trial to test against your own data. We publish every grade because transparency matters.

USE CASES

Built for battery teams

Whether youre designing cells, writing BMS software, setting warranty terms, or choosing a cooling system we give you the numbers you need.

Cell Design

Sweep silicon content, particle size, and operating conditions to find the sweet spot between energy density and cycle life — before you build a single prototype.

Battery Management

Generate rich degradation trajectories with 30+ channels to train and validate your BMS. Mode decomposition tells you which mechanism to monitor in the field.

Warranty & Finance

Predict the exact cycle at which capacity crosses 80% end-of-life for any operating envelope. Set warranty terms with physics-backed confidence bands.

Thermal Strategy

Compare passive, forced-air, and liquid cooling. Model real-world seasonal and daily temperature swings. Quantify the lifetime cost of underinvesting in thermal management.

PRICING

Simple, scalable pricing

A single physical aging test takes 4-8 months and costs $10,000-$80,000 — for one set of conditions. One Starter subscription runs 2,500 simulations per month across any conditions you define.

Starter
$499/mo
billed monthly
2,500 simulations / month
All 7 degradation mechanisms
Mode decomposition
Sensitivity analysis
Web dashboard
Email support
Professional
$1,499/mo
billed monthly
10,000 simulations / month
Everything in Starter
Auto-fit to your data
Uncertainty bands
Batch simulations — 50 parallel
Priority support + SDK access
Enterprise
Custom
 
Unlimited simulations
On-premise deployment option
Hardware-locked license
Dedicated engineering support
Custom integrations & SLA
Contact Sales

Annual billing saves 2 months (17% off). Volume discounts available for teams of 10+.

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

Common Questions

What silicon content range is validated?+
The model is validated across 2.5-20% silicon content with 8 published datasets (7 of 8 at grade A or better). The physics extends to 0-50% silicon. Cell designers working with 15-25% Si can use auto-calibration to fit the model to their specific chemistry with as few as 3 data points.
Is my data private? Will it be used to train a shared model?+
Your simulation inputs and calibration data are never pooled, shared, or used to improve the model for other customers. Each calibration is isolated to your account. Data is encrypted in transit (TLS) and simulation inputs are not retained after the prediction is returned. A Data Processing Agreement (DPA) is available on request for any paid tier.
What are the 7 coupled degradation mechanisms?+
SEI growth (time-dependent lithium consumption), silicon particle cracking (mechanical fatigue), graphite exfoliation, lithium plating (transport-limited), crack-SEI feedback (fresh surface exposure), thermal fatigue (temperature cycling effects on SEI and mechanics), and porosity-driven transport collapse (percolation failure leading to knee-point behavior).
How does auto-calibration work? What data format does it need?+
Provide cycle numbers and capacity retention percentages (minimum 3 points) via the /api/calibrate endpoint. The optimizer fits 4 key degradation rate parameters using Nelder-Mead in log-space. Typical convergence takes 50-300 iterations (2-10 seconds). No voltage curves, impedance spectra, or dQ/dV data required — just cycle vs. capacity.
How does this compare to PyBaMM or running my own model?+
PyBaMM solves full PDE systems (Doyle-Fuller-Newman) — rigorous but 1000x slower and requires extensive parameterization. Our engine runs 1,000 cycles in ~30ms with 7 coupled mechanisms, built-in uncertainty quantification (DMA), and auto-calibration. No installation, no parameter hunting, no cluster computing. The tradeoff: we model degradation, not electrochemistry. If you need voltage-level predictions, use PyBaMM. If you need lifetime predictions at scale, use us.
What counts as one simulation for billing purposes?+
Each API call to /api/predict, /api/dual_predict, or /api/calibrate counts as one simulation, regardless of cycle count. A 1,000-cycle prediction and a 10,000-cycle prediction both count as one simulation. The free tier includes 50/month, Starter includes 2,500/month, Professional includes 10,000/month.
Can the model handle fast charging (2C+) and thermal oscillations?+
Yes. v18.1 includes C-rate-dependent mechanical stress amplification — higher charge rates create more diffusion-induced stress in silicon particles, matching published experimental behavior. Thermal oscillation modeling captures both seasonal and daily temperature swings as independent degradation drivers, including the Jensen inequality correction for Arrhenius rate averaging.
What chemistries are supported? NMC? LFP?+
The current engine targets silicon-graphite anodes with NMC cathodes — the chemistry where physics-based prediction adds the most value due to silicon's complex degradation mechanisms. The cathode is modeled as a voltage and capacity source. LFP cathode support is on the roadmap. Pure graphite anodes (0% Si) work today but the model's competitive advantage is strongest for silicon-containing cells.
Can I export my calibrated parameters if I cancel?+
Yes. Fitted parameters are returned in every calibration response as a JSON object. You own your calibration results. There is no lock-in — if you cancel, you keep everything the API has returned to you.
What's the API latency and uptime?+
Single predictions complete in 30-50ms (Numba JIT compiled). Dual-model predictions take ~60ms. Calibration takes 2-10 seconds depending on iteration count. Uptime target is 99.9%. The /api/health endpoint is always available for monitoring.
Scale Prognostics

Stop guessing. Start simulating.

Get a full degradation forecast with root-cause attribution in under a minute. No infrastructure. No parameter hunting. Results in under a minute.